Macro factors analysis and development trend scenario forecast on building energy consumption in Shenzhen

Based on the statistical yearbook and the energy consumption statistics of civil buildings over the years, summarizes the general situation and trend of building energy consumption in Shenzhen. Analyses the three macro factors affecting the overall energy consumption of urban buildings: the level of social and economic development, economic growth mode and urban environment temperature. Predicts the overall building energy consumption of Shenzhen in the near future using the scenario analysis method. The results show that 13.2 billion kWh of electricity savings can be achieved, when comparing the predicted data of 2020 with the actual building energy consumption intensity of 2015 if the building energy efficiency work can be promoted under the target scenario.